Good people,

Steadman research company recently released their quartely poll on performance of potential presidential candidates later in the year.I wish to invite all of you to answer the following questions for me.

1. Do you agree with the steadman polls latest findings
2.If you agree, why and if you dont why dont you agree
3.If you dont agree, who in your opinion do you think is likely to be the president and with what percentage. Kindly rank the other serious contenders
4.Do you think funding of the research impacts on the credibility or objectivity of the findings?
5.Are there contradictions in the findings in your own opinion? If yes, what are they and why are they contradictions?
6. Any suggestions on what will give a fairer /objective poll findings?
-----------------------------------------------

quote:

Originally posted by kanyutu wa igoti:
Good people,

Steadman research company recently released their quartely poll on performance of potential presidential candidates later in the year.I wish to invite all of you to answer the following questions for me.

1. Do you agree with the steadman polls latest findings
2.If you agree, why and if you dont why dont you agree
3.If you dont agree, who in your opinion do you think is likely to be the president and with what percentage. Kindly rank the other serious contenders
4.Do you think funding of the research impacts on the credibility or objectivity of the findings?
5.Are there contradictions in the findings in your own opinion? If yes, what are they and why are they contradictions?
6. Any suggestions on what will give a fairer /objective poll findings?
-----------------------------------------------

Kanyutu i don mean to be biased in any way but i beleive if the sample taken by steadman is good enough represent population then i agree with their research and my assumption is that the sample was evenly distributed and all the contributors have a voting card.

To me MR. KIBAKI hana compe!

I dont know why there is such a problem by kina Raila now that Kibaki is a head.I wonder what would have been their reactions if it was them leading.I therefore agree with the poll.
About the percentage that is hard but i am sure kibaki will be tops,closely follwed by Raila and Kalonzo whos star is waning will be third.

quote:

Originally posted by kanyutu wa igoti:
Good people,

Steadman research company recently released their quartely poll on performance of potential presidential candidates later in the year.I wish to invite all of you to answer the following questions for me.

1. Do you agree with the steadman polls latest findings
2.If you agree, why and if you dont why dont you agree
3.If you dont agree, who in your opinion do you think is likely to be the president and with what percentage. Kindly rank the other serious contenders
4.Do you think funding of the research impacts on the credibility or objectivity of the findings?
5.Are there contradictions in the findings in your own opinion? If yes, what are they and why are they contradictions?
6. Any suggestions on what will give a fairer /objective poll findings?
-----------------------------------------------

kanyutu i dont believe in these polls,They are funded by the govt to ave the impression that kibaki is popular,its obvious agwambo is most popular of all and this man will beat them pants down.
Now that he is even a born again takes the mileage further ahead of the lks of kibaki,remember the govt ave resources to influence the out come of such polls,this is only my opinion agwambo is popular and he deserves it and i think given a chance can take this country to the promised land.
This how the percetage shud be
Raila amollo odinga........48%
kibaki.../............32%
the rest shud share the reminder equally

kanyutu,
i some how agree with the poll but the percentage seem not to be true
this is how i could rate them.
KIBAKI 46%
LAIRA 30%
KALONZO 15%

Kanyutu,
i wish to table my views before i answer your questions.
I am assuming that the research was conducted in all the provinces but what am wondering is,how was the sample distributed? Rift valley has the highest voter population while north Eastern has the lowest? was each Province allocated equal sample number? Was the research conducted by full time employed steadman folks? Usually,when research firms hire layabouts and college students to distribute the questionaires they just sit back in the house and fill in all the questionaires by themselves(or their buddies)with different hand writings and surrender them back just on time to get their pay!

However,steadman group is a seasoned research firm whose core business is just that,Research.they have to safeguard their reputation and therefore have to give near Accurate results. We saw it during the referendum.no one took them seriously until the results of the referendum were released and it imaged that the the difference between the Actual results and the Steadman prediction was very minute.You can imagine what would happen to their businessif they gave results indicating that a certain candidate is on top but when the results come out, it turns out to be the opposite.
Steadman is not owned by the Government,neither is it owned by the Transcentury Group. After the refendum results, people said its sponsored by the LDP-Kanu guys.This was Al,most confirmed when Kalonzo took the lead. Now that His Exellency is on top,Steadman is being funded by the Government!!!.........but they tell us that a day in Politics is too long!

Kanyutu, i must have answered your questions. now.



PS.Put the Kenya of 1980-2002 beside the Kenya of 2003-2007 and compare the two.then vote.

Riu ndeto ino ya Steadman poll nirarehe urugari nogwati tondu turerwo tukunyua mai ma cumbi twende kana turege...AKenya nitukwendwo tuhingure maitho na aria mena macicio mabanguthe rungungu...ii mone wega tutikae kuhia nda tugicunga.

1. Kibaki ee mbere na niahenetie aKenya na Free Primary Education Ya Maheni...na nituui wega turarihira fees Supermarket...ii kuhaicia bei na petoro cia ngari.

2.Turerwo niekiite maendeleo manene na miaka inna..Kai tutoi ona Moi niakiite Kasarani, agaka Nyanyo wards, Nyayo Stadium, NYS, Monitary School, Na Mathibitari matari muico, Universities...ii inyui..kamuthe kau nikageririe.

N akiri o uguo-ri....Kibaki niakurire na ndirecia tungihingura Gate no oime na athie mucii.

Steadman ni maheni matheri...ee mundu urihitwo kuhenia a Kenya.

Gathumbi niwe waneana ici ndeto.

1. Do you agree with the steadman polls latest findings
yes i do 95%.
2.If you agree, why?
coz this steadman has been doing its doing this thing since as long as i can remember n the predictions have come to pass.
4.Do you think funding of the research impacts on the credibility or objectivity of the findings?
no i dont coz even if there is funding thre's nothing wrong with that.mind you the government has lost in a number of cases unlike the KANU days when the govt & total man called the shots.
5.Are there contradictions in the findings in your own opinion? If yes, what are they and why are they contradictions?
oh yes there are a few of them.where is balala, nyaga, julia & ngilu.we need to know how they are fairing since they are also in the race.
6. Any suggestions on what will give a fairer /objective poll findings?
oh yes they should tell us how many people they interviewed in each province n the specific locality.eg interviewing 10 people from nrb n all of them from lang'ata would give a skewed result or even getting 10 from subukia to represent the rift valley would be bias.

quote:

5.Are there contradictions in the findings in your own opinion? If yes, what are they and why are they contradictions?
oh yes there are a few of them.where is balala, nyaga, julia & ngilu.we need to know how they are fairing since they are also in the race.

Njung'e i had the same question but i latter figured out or thought that the poll was using round figures to report the results.may be the votes that these folks got were so insignificant to be reported.
If Uhuru and Ruto managed a mere 2%,how many votes would Balala get outside coast province? and Ojiambo??
this is where we confirm that kweri njaamba ní ikere!

i do believe with all my heart that the poll is true indication of the political situation in KENYA and though it may not be 100%collect but at least is evidence enough that KIBAKI would emerge tops and Raila due to making noise every now and then would emerge second i dont think Raila will ever lead Kenya

quote:

Originally posted by IRUMBI WA KIBAARA:
i do believe with all my heart that the poll is true indication of the political situation in KENYA and though it may not be 100%collect but at least is evidence enough that KIBAKI would emerge tops and Raila due to making noise every now and then would emerge second i dont think Raila will ever lead Kenya

"it may not be 100%collect"
its true that it is not 100% correct but an indication that kibaki is leading in popularity. some say its because he is the incumbent and that ODM does not have the official flag bearer so its Narc-K 51 opposition 49. each side needs to pull up teir sox if they wish to win come December

No side will benefit from this poll. If the Narc-camp belives the data, it will go to sleep and forget to campaign. Yet if the ODM camp ignores it, it might turn out to be true.

If I were Raila, I would bribe STEADMAN to come up with another fictitions poll that gives Kibaki 70%. This would give Kibaki and company would drink themselves crazy instead of campiagning. I bet some of them would forget to take their nomination forms to the electral commision. Come election day and they would receive news of their retirement in bars.

The Steadman Poll is a government project,a strategy to win elections.One it confuses the masses.Two it confuses the opposition.The majority of voters who happens to be old are undecided,and a poll like this help them make decisions.Then to the opposition,it will tend to divide them further.At the end of the day,the government scores at both sides.Thats the strategy.

i think as it is now kibaki can carry the day as long as odm kenya continues wrangling but not on a narc kenya ticket .to me narc k is on its way to the morgue if they dont change tactics.